Structural Time Series Models for Business Cycle Analysis
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Structural Time Series Models for Business Cycle Analysis
The chapter deals with parametric models for the measurement of the business cycle in economic time series. It presents univariate methods based on parametric trend–cycle decompositions and multivariate models featuring a Phillips type relationship between the output gap and inflation and the estimation of the gap using mixed frequency data. We finally address the issue of assessing the accurac...
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Structural Time Series Models
1 Trend and Cycle Decomposition y t = t + t where y t is an n 1 vector and t and t represent trend and cycle components respectively. This decomposition into components is not unique. Beveridge and Nelson (1981) and Stock and Watson (1988) derive the following decomposition: y t = C(L)" t = C(1)" t + (1 L)C (L)" t Integrating up gives: y t = C(1) 1 X i=0 " ti | {z } + C (L)" t | {z } trend cycl...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2008
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1114854